Monday, 31 October 2011

The statistical duration and poverty transitions in Zambia

A rather old but still valid and interesting uneca publication.

"Poverty in Zambia remains at stubbornly high levels and continues to be a deep rooted problem facing the people and government. However, according to the Central Statistics Office (CSO), poverty incidence is declining and is currently at 67 percent (as at 2003) down from 78 percent in 1996. However, these figures are based on cross sectional estimates of the population and do not say anything about the persistence of poverty and changes in circumstances that drive the transitions in and out of poverty in households. Additionally, the figures can not provide explanations to the following issues; wheather households remain trapped in poverty over generations; wheater poor households are the same over time and wheater families or households fluctuate in and out of material hardship due to changes in employment status, family structure, agriculture conditions, health problems and other household crises."

http://www.uneca.org/srdc/sa/publications/Statistical-Estimation.pdf

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